PyTorch 2 Vector Operations
powered by Advanced iFrame free. Get the Pro version on CodeCanyon.
powered by Advanced iFrame free. Get the Pro version on CodeCanyon.
powered by Advanced iFrame free. Get the Pro version on CodeCanyon.
powered by Advanced iFrame free. Get the Pro version on CodeCanyon.
Huffpost Pollster
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster
Requests: HTTP for Humans
http://docs.python-requests.org/en/latest/
StringIO and cStringIO – Work with text buffers using file-like API
https://pymotw.com/2/StringIO/
powered by Advanced iFrame free. Get the Pro version on CodeCanyon.
Titanic: Machine Learning from Disaster
https://www.kaggle.com/c/titanic-gettingStarted
Color Maps: matplotlib
http://matplotlib.org/users/colormaps.html
Machine1:
Spanners: m1, m1, m1 …
Machine2:
Spanners: m2, m2, m2 …
What’s the probability of producing defective spaners?
P(A|B) = (P(B|A) * P(A)) / P(B)
Machine1: 30 wrenches/hr
Machine2: 20 wrenches/hr
Out of all produced parts:
We can SEE that 1% are defective
Out of all defective parts:
We can SEE that 50% came from mach1
And 50 % came from mach2
Question:
What is the probability that a part produced by mach2 is defective=?
-> P(Mach1)=30/50=0.6
-> P(Mach2)=20/50=0.4
-> P(Defect)=1%
-> P(Mach1|Defect)=50%
-> P(Mach2|Defect)=50%
-> P(Defect|Mach2)=?
P(Defect|Mach2)
= (P(Mach2|Defect) * P(Defect)) / P(Mach2)
= (0.5 * 0.01) / 0.4
= 0.0125
= 1.25%
ex)
– 1000 wrenches
– 400 came from Mach2
– 1% have a defect = 10
– of them 50% came from Mach2 = 5
– % defective parts from Mach2 = 5/400 = 1.25%
Obvious question:
If the items are labeled, why couldn’t we just count the number of defective wrenches that came from Mach2 and divide by the total number that came from Mach2?
Quick exercise:
P(Defect|Mach2)
= (0.5 * 0.01) / 0.5
= 0.01
= 1%
P(A|B) = (P(B|A) * P(A)) / P(B)
P(Walks|X) = (P(X|Walks) * P(Walks)) / P(X)
#4 = (#3 * #1) / #2
#1: Prior Probability
#2: Marginal Likelihood
#3: Likelihood
#4: Posterior Probability
P(Drives|X) = (P(X| Drives) * P(Drives)) / P(X)
P(Walks|X) v P(Drives|X)
#1: P(Walks)
= Number of Walkers / Total Observations
= 10/30
#2: P(X)
= Number of Similar Observations / Total Observations
= 4/30
#3: P(X|Walks)
= Number of Similar Observations Among those who Walk / Total number of Walkers
= 3/10
#4: P(Walks|X)
= (3/10 * 10/30) / (4/30)
= 0.75
= 75%
P(Drives|X)
= (1/20 * 20/30) / (4/30)
= 0.25
= 25%
P(Walks|X) > P(Drives|X)
= 0.75 > 0.25
P(Drives|X) = (P(X| Drives) * P(Drives)) / P(X)
#1: P(Drives)
= Number of Drivers / Total Observations
= 20/30
#2: P(X)
= Number of Similar Observations / Total Observations
= 4/30
#3: P(X|Drives)
= Number of Similar Observations Among those who Walk / Total number of Walkers
= 1/20
#4: P(Walks|X)
= (1/20 * 20/30) / (4/30)
= 0.25
= 25%
https://www.slideshare.net/KojiKosugi/ss-50740386?next_slideshow=3